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August 19, 2010


In the August 19th edition of the English-language Turkish newspaper, the “Hürriyet Daily News,” ACNIS Director Richard Giragosian was cited in an article entitled “Baku-Yerevan arms race surfaces in Caucasus.”

The article warned that “Caucasus-watchers are alarmed by the potential for renewed hostilities between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh. Frustrated at the lack of progress through diplomatic means, Baku is rapidly boosting its arsenal as Yerevan ramps up military cooperation with Russia, raising concerns that armed skirmishes could resume and even spiral into war.”

The article cited the ACNIS director as saying that “the ‘arms race’ has the international community worried about the prospect of another war in the region.”  Referring to the fact that it was only Azerbaijan that threatened regional stability, Giragosian explained that “the domestic political context has Baku talking tough,” quoting Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev’s recent statement that “if negotiations are scuttled, a new situation will arise and the issue of solving the problem by military means will be included on the agenda.”

Giragosian went on to warn that “the rising tension along the ‘line of contact’ separating the Karabakh and Azerbaijani sides has sparked new concerns over the fragility of the cease-fire agreement that first ‘froze’ the Karabakh conflict in May 1994 and has led to fresh worries about the possibility of further clashes or skirmishes.”  He added that “the danger (from Azerbaijan) is not one of all-out war, however, but rather of a danger of ‘war by accident,’ stressing that “smaller-scale clashes and skirmishes could spiral dangerously out of control.”

Direct link: Hürriyet Daily News

The Armenian Center for National and International Studies (ACNIS) is a leading independent strategic research center located in Yerevan, Armenia.  As an independent, objective institution committed to conducting professional policy research and analysis, ACNIS strives to raise the level of public debate and seeks to broaden public engagement in the public policy process, as well as fostering greater and more inclusive public knowledge. Founded in 1994, ACNIS is the institutional initiative of Raffi K. Hovannisian, Armenia’s first Minister of Foreign Affairs.  Over the past fifteen years, ACNIS has acquired a prominent reputation as a primary source of professional independent research and analysis covering a wide range of national and international policy issues.

For further information on the Center call (37410) 52-87-80 or 27-48-18; fax (37410) 52-48-46; email root@acnis.am or info@acnis.am; or visit www.acnis.am.

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